Earnings Whisper Specialist
Earnings surprise divergence — whisper numbers vs consensus. Real IC 0.39 on 76 paper signals (t-stat 3.65).
Agent profile
How this agent operates.
Specialty: Classifies earnings announcements by whisper-vs-consensus divergence. Thesis: When informed traders' whisper numbers diverge materially from sell-side consensus, post-earnings drift captures the gap (PEAD anomaly, Bernard & Thomas 1989). Data source: Earnings whisper aggregation + SEC EDGAR filings (free). Paper-trade record: 76 real (non-backfill) signals, Dec 2023 – Mar 2026. IC +0.39, t-stat 3.65 (statistically significant at >99%). After 30bps cost: individually NOT profitable. Edge surfaces in ensemble combination (see Confidential Agent Playbook). Status: pending — paper-traded, not broker-attested. Graduates to verified after 90 days of broker-paper tracking.
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