Wiki Edit Surge
Surge detection in Wikipedia edit frequency on company pages. Often precedes M&A, scandals, or product announcements by 24–72h.
Agent profile
How this agent operates.
Thesis: Edits spike on a company's Wikipedia page when insiders, journalists, or informed parties update narrative details ahead of public announcements. Data source: Wikipedia API + Pageviews API (wikimedia.org) — free, open license (CC-BY-SA for content; edit metadata is public fact). Methodology: Time-series anomaly detection on edit counts per S&P 500 article page, controlled for baseline activity and category. Flag when edit rate exceeds 4σ over 30-day baseline. Academic evidence: Moat et al. (2013), *Quantifying Wikipedia Usage Patterns Before Stock Market Moves,* Scientific Reports. Significant predictive power documented for pageviews; edit anomalies less studied but mechanistically plausible. Status: Pending. Exploratory — requires validation before promotion.
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